Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.190211 0.225604 0.265269 0.312946 0.368627 0.431530 0.507910
2025-06-08 0.132270 0.175916 0.230203 0.302407 0.395617 0.511555 0.666335
2025-06-15 0.106131 0.153744 0.217723 0.309384 0.436638 0.606255 0.848522
2025-06-22 0.087176 0.135647 0.205106 0.310920 0.466842 0.686689 1.018299
2025-06-29 0.071882 0.119187 0.190944 0.306318 0.485403 0.750515 1.169649
2025-07-06 0.060306 0.105950 0.178848 0.301900 0.502007 0.811377 1.321282
2025-07-13 0.054367 0.100580 0.177851 0.314019 0.544720 0.915198 1.548399
2025-07-20 0.051253 0.099368 0.183224 0.336828 0.606795 1.055253 1.846839
2025-07-27 0.047155 0.095639 0.183565 0.350691 0.654849 1.176557 2.125869
2025-08-03 0.041573 0.088177 0.176082 0.349366 0.675706 1.253258 2.335758
2025-08-10 0.035433 0.078589 0.163236 0.336230 0.673206 1.288211 2.474819
2025-08-17 0.029984 0.069485 0.149986 0.320397 0.663396 1.308284 2.587806
2025-08-24 0.027026 0.065422 0.146694 0.324815 0.695057 1.411728 2.872985
2025-08-31 0.023052 0.058443 0.136415 0.313657 0.694710 1.455057 3.049987
2025-09-07 0.021105 0.055774 0.134941 0.320855 0.732697 1.576859 3.392461
2025-09-14 0.018998 0.052326 0.131187 0.322443 0.758807 1.677152 3.701316
2025-09-21 0.016761 0.048126 0.125041 0.317681 0.770305 1.748155 3.956396
2025-09-28 0.014834 0.044364 0.119344 0.313108 0.781515 1.819372 4.218505
2025-10-05 0.014033 0.043508 0.120677 0.325650 0.833643 1.984303 4.698783
2025-10-12 0.013814 0.044251 0.126180 0.349254 0.914624 2.220828 5.358784
2025-10-19 0.013160 0.043609 0.127964 0.363598 0.974736 2.415664 5.942432
2025-10-26 0.011914 0.040957 0.123945 0.362227 0.995686 2.522017 6.332797
2025-11-02 0.010361 0.037036 0.115802 0.348635 0.983928 2.549993 6.542289